Guides, signal explainers and cycle analysis for investors who want to buy low and sell high — systematically.
Gold −$307. Silver −5.6% in one session. The hawkish Fed weaponised the dollar against the very assets that should benefit from Middle East chaos. The anatomy of what just happened.
PMI at 53.3 is 0.8 points from the BUY signal. Nippon Steel historically gains 95–120% after the PMI BUY fires.
Copper and gold both in SELL zone. SMM has gained 310% from the 2020 BUY signal — not the entry point now.
VLCC, LNG and BDI signals all near SELL. Japan's most diversified shipping company at peak cycle.
Nippon Steel, Sumitomo Mining, NYK, Komatsu — the definitive guide to Japanese commodity stocks and global signals.
Vale tracks the PMI cycle almost perfectly. PMI at 53.3 is approaching the BUY threshold that triggered the 2020 +285% rally.
Petrobras SELL signal active at $104 Brent. Political premium amplifies downside. Not the entry point.
Vale, Petrobras, Gerdau, Suzano — B3 is one of the world's best commodity cycle exchanges. Current signal picture.
Gold at $4,230/oz in SELL zone. Gold Fields amplifies the gold signal. Historical pattern: -35 to -50% at these levels.
Anglo American is restructuring toward copper just as the SELL signal fires. Double risk: price + concentration.
Gold Fields, Anglo American, Implats, Kumba — complete guide to South African commodity stocks and signals.
Tata Steel, ONGC, Vedanta, Hindalco and JSW Steel — the definitive guide to Indian commodity stocks and global signals.
Vedanta is exposed to copper, zinc, aluminium and oil simultaneously. Three signals are in SELL zone right now.
Tata Steel tracks global steel HRC almost perfectly. PMI approaching BUY territory — here's what to watch.
ONGC is India's most direct Brent proxy. The SELL signal is active at $112/bbl.
Aluminium neutral, copper SELL. How to read Hindalco when two signals disagree.
India's fastest-growing steelmaker. Strong domestic demand vs elevated global costs.
Coal India tracks India's industrial energy demand. PMI at 53.3 is the signal to watch.
Just 0.8 points from the signal that historically precedes +31% returns in cyclicals. The April PMI print could be the most actionable moment in 3 years.
LME Copper is 41% above our SELL threshold. But EV demand and grid buildout may permanently raise the floor. A genuine debate — with data.
Last 3 times the salmon SELL signal fired: Mowi -25%, -35%, -28%. The signal is active now. History rhymes.
India tender + Russian supply limits push urea toward our $620 SELL threshold. Set an alert at $580.
Frontline and Hafnia are approaching the SELL threshold. If Hormuz de-escalates, rates could fall 40% fast.
Neutral but critical. A BDI below 1,500 would confirm the oil shock is killing real demand and push recession probability above 65%.
Brent crossed our $105 SELL threshold. Every time Brent sustained $100+, one of two things happened. The data is sobering.
The four phases explained with historical data and buy/sell signals.
The most important classification in equity investing — when to own each.
Signals, phases, portfolio construction and the biggest mistakes.
Buy zone, sell zone and which stocks to own at each Brent level.
LME signal, Freeport, BHP and the EV structural demand driver.
Buy zone below 1,000, sell zone above 3,500 — which stocks move.
The crude tanker signal and how it drives tanker stock earnings.
How the PMI affects commodity stocks across all sectors.
Oslo seafood cycle — Mowi, SalMar and the 14-month biological lag.
Equinor, Aker BP, PGS — complete cycle guide.
Before, during and after — cycle-based playbook.
Signal-based allocation by cycle phase — practical example.