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🟤 LME Copper · Buy <$5,000/t · Sell >$9,000/t

Best European Copper Stocks — Cycle Returns Compared

7 European stocks use the LME Copper signal. When copper falls below $5,000/tonne, all 7 de-rate. When it recovers above $9,000/tonne, all 7 recover — but by very different amounts. Here is how they compare.

All stocks on this signal — ranked by cycle return

#StockExchangeReturnDurationCycleAnalysis
1 Anglo AmericanAAL London
+361%
29 mnd Jan 2016 → Jun 2018 Read →
2 GlencoreGLEN London
+164%
29 mnd Jan 2016 → Jun 2018 Read →
3 UmicoreUMI Brussels
+136%
29 mnd Jan 2016 → Jun 2018 Read →
4 FLSmidthFLS Copenhagen
+120%
29 mnd Jan 2016 → Jun 2018 Read →
5 EpirocEPI-A Stockholm
+109%
29 mnd Jan 2016 → Jun 2018 Read →
6 KGHMKGH Warsaw
+155%
29 mnd Jan 2016 → Jun 2018 Read →
7 AntofagastaANTO London
+69%
29 mnd Jan 2016 → Jun 2018 Read →

Key insight

Anglo American's extraordinary +361% return in 29 months reflects a near-bankruptcy entry point — the stock was priced for distress in January 2016. Glencore (+164%) delivered a more typical large-cap miner recovery. Umicore (+136%) and FLSmidth (+120%) benefited from the electrification premium applied to copper-adjacent businesses.

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Where are we in the cycle? 📉 Recession probability: 54% 📈 Market cycle indicator history