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Signycle ยท Singapore Signal

Straits Times Index

Source: SGX ยท 27 Apr 2026
3,280 pts
NEUTRAL
BUY <2,500 SELL >3,800

The Straits Times Index is the benchmark index for Singapore's stock market, comprising the top 30 SGX-listed companies by market cap. It is the single most-watched indicator by Singapore investors and provides a macro-level read on the SGX cycle.

Commodity signals now:   Brent $107.5/bbl (sell) · BDI 2567 pts (neutral) · Flying Hours 104 (neutral) · PMI 51.4 (neutral) · EUR 10Y 2.93%  —  All 18 signals โ†’
Signal Thresholds
BUY zone: STI falls below 2,500 โ€” severe market dislocation, broad SGX buy signal
~
Near sell: STI 3,400โ€“3,800 โ€” late-cycle territory, reduce cyclical exposure
SELL zone: STI above 3,800 โ€” broad market peak, defensives preferred
Key Cycle Dates
Date Level Event
Mar 20202,233COVID crash โ€” STI trough, strong BUY signal
Feb 20212,980Vaccine rally โ€” recovery phase begins
Jan 20223,402Rate normalisation peak โ€” near sell zone
Oct 20222,969Global rate hike correction โ€” re-entry signal
Feb 20243,215Mid-cycle consolidation
Feb 20263,450Pre-Hormuz crisis peak
Apr 20263,280Hormuz crisis correction โ€” neutral zone
What Drives the STI

The STI is dominated by three sectors that together account for over 60% of index weight:

Sector Weight Key signal Stocks
Financials~45%EUR 10Y ยท PMIDBS, OCBC, UOB
Industrials~20%PMI ยท BrentKeppel, Sembcorp, ST Engineering
REITs~15%EUR 10YMapletree, Ascendas, CapitaLand
Telecoms~8%PMISingtel
Transport~7%Flying Hours ยท BrentSIA, SATS
STI vs Signycle Cycle Score

The STI correlates strongly with Signycle's overall Cycle Score. When the Cycle Score is below 40, STI has historically been in or near buy territory. When above 75, STI tends to be in late-cycle territory.

Cycle Score STI Zone Action
0โ€“35BUYAccumulate SGX cyclicals broadly
35โ€“60NEUTRALHold โ€” select sector opportunities
60โ€“75NEAR SELLReduce cyclicals, add defensives
75+SELLMove to cash and defensives

Current Cycle Score: 68/100 โ€” Near sell territory. STI at 3,280 is consistent with late mid-cycle.

How to Use STI as a Signal

The STI is most useful as a confirmation signal โ€” not a primary driver. Here is the recommended approach:

  1. Start with macro signals โ€” check Brent, EUR 10Y, PMI and BDI on Signycle Live Signals
  2. Confirm with STI level โ€” if macro signals say BUY but STI is already above 3,600, be cautious
  3. Use STI for sector rotation โ€” when STI is rising, financials (DBS, OCBC, UOB) typically lead. When STI is falling, REITs with high yields provide support
  4. Watch STI 200-day MA โ€” STI crossing below its 200-day moving average has historically preceded 6โ€“12 months of underperformance
Current setup: STI at 3,280 with Cycle Score 68/100 โ€” mid-to-late cycle. Hormuz reopening today is a near-term positive catalyst. Watch whether STI can hold above 3,200 as a key support level.

The STI signal is updated manually based on SGX closing prices. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. See our disclaimer.