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Seafood

Norwegian Salmon Farming โ€” Cycle Guide

Signycle ยท 23 Mar 2026 ยท Signal: Salmon NOK 95/kg ๐Ÿ”ด

Norway produces 70% of the world's farmed Atlantic salmon. The salmon price cycle drives earnings for Mowi, SalMar, Grieg Seafood and Lerรธy โ€” all listed on Oslo Bรธrs.

The Salmon Cycle

Salmon prices move in 3-5 year cycles driven by supply growth (biological constraints limit how fast Norway can grow production) and demand growth (Asia particularly). BUY below NOK 42/kg โ€” salmon farming unprofitable, stocks cheap. SELL above NOK 82/kg โ€” salmon farming highly profitable, stocks expensive. Current salmon price: NOK 95/kg โ€” above SELL threshold.

Oslo Seafood Stocks

Mowi (largest), SalMar, Grieg Seafood, Lerรธy Seafood and Austevoll Seafood all trade on Oslo Bรธrs. At NOK 95/kg, all are generating strong earnings โ€” but the Signycle signal says SELL, not BUY.

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Norwegian Salmon Farming Stocks โ€” Complete Investor Guide | Signycle
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Where are we in the cycle? ๐Ÿ“‰ Recession probability: 54% ๐Ÿ“ˆ Market cycle indicator history