Signycle · Signal

EUR 10-Year Rate

Source: ECB / Bloomberg (German Bund)

3.0 %

NEUTRAL

BUY <1.5 SELL >3.5

Euro area 10-year benchmark government bond yield (German Bund). Drives valuations of rate-sensitive sectors — utilities, renewables, REITs and infrastructure. Lower rates = higher valuations.

Signal Thresholds

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BUY: EUR 10Y falls below 1.5% — rate-sensitive stocks undervalued, BUY zone

▼

SELL: EUR 10Y rises above 3.5% — rate-sensitive stocks overvalued, SELL zone

Key Cycle Dates

Date	Level	Event
Mar 2020	−0.2%	COVID rate collapse — renewables BUY signal
Dec 2021	0.2%	Still BUY zone — renewable boom ongoing
Oct 2023	3.0%	ECB hiking cycle — renewables under pressure
Apr 2026	3.0%	Rates stable — neutral zone

Key Stocks — this signal

→ Verbund Wiener Börse → Solaria Bolsa Madrid → Ørsted Nasdaq Copenhagen → RWE Frankfurt XETRA

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