Signycle · Signal

VLCC Spot Rate

Source: Baltic Exchange / Clarksons

160,000 $/day

SELL ZONE

BUY <15,000 SELL >75,000

Very Large Crude Carrier daily charter rate — TD3C route (Ras Tanura to Ningbo). Tracks oil trade volumes and geopolitical risk to the Strait of Hormuz.

Signal Thresholds

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BUY: VLCC falls below $15k/day — tanker stocks at trough, BUY zone

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SELL: VLCC rises above $75k/day — tanker stocks at peak, reduce exposure

Key Cycle Dates

Date	Level	Event
Mar 2020	$15k	COVID oil demand collapse — BUY signal
Nov 2021	$75k	Tanker supercycle — SELL signal
Apr 2026	$160k	Hormuz crisis ceasefire — easing from $294k peak

Key Stocks — this signal

→ Frontline Oslo Børs / NYSE → International Seaways NYSE → Euronav Euronext Brussels

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