Signycle · Signal

Lithium Carbonate Price

Source: Fastmarkets / GFEX

17,000 $/t

NEUTRAL

BUY <12,000 SELL >40,000

Battery-grade lithium carbonate CIF China-Japan-Korea spot price. The key raw material for EV batteries — tracks EV production growth, Chinese cathode demand and mine supply additions.

Signal Thresholds

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BUY: Lithium carbonate falls below $12,000/t — lithium stocks at trough, approaching BUY zone

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SELL: Lithium carbonate rises above $40,000/t — lithium stocks at peak, reduce exposure

Key Cycle Dates

Date	Level	Event
Jun 2020	$6,500	EV pre-cycle trough — BUY signal
Nov 2022	$84,000	EV supercycle peak — SELL signal
Jun 2024	$11,000	Oversupply trough — near BUY zone
Apr 2026	~$17,000	Recovery — approaching neutral zone

Key Stocks — this signal

→ Albemarle NYSE → SQM NYSE / Bolsa Santiago → Pilbara Minerals ASX Australia → Ganfeng Lithium HKEX / SSE → Tianqi Lithium HKEX

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