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SGX ยท Agriculture

Olam Group (O32) โ€” Agricultural Commodities Cycle

Olam is one of the world's largest agricultural supply chain companies, with operations in 60+ countries. Urea prices and global PMI are the key signals โ€” and Hormuz matters enormously.

17 Apr 2026 Singapore Exchange ยท O32 4 min lesing

Olam Group (SGX: O32) is one of the world's largest agri-commodity and food ingredient companies, with operations spanning cotton, cocoa, coffee, nuts, spices and animal feed across more than 60 countries. Following a corporate restructuring, Olam operates through two listed entities: Olam Agri (private) and Olamint (private), with the parent listed on SGX.

Key Signals for Olam Group

Current signal readings
Urea Price$530/t Neutral
Global PMI51.4 Neutral
Overall verdictHold โ€” Hormuz risk elevated

Why Urea and Hormuz Matter for Olam

Agricultural supply chains are critically dependent on fertiliser availability and cost. Urea โ€” the world's most widely used nitrogen fertiliser โ€” is heavily produced in the Middle East and transported through the Strait of Hormuz. When Hormuz was closed earlier in 2026, urea prices spiked from $310/t to $530/t โ€” a 71% increase that directly compressed margins for Olam's farming and ingredient businesses.

The Hormuz reopening announced today (17 April) is a significant positive catalyst for Olam. A return to normal urea flows would reduce input costs across its agricultural supply chain substantially.

Historical Cycle Performance

CycleEntryExitReturnSignal trigger
2020โ€“2022Mar 2020 ยท SGD 1.20Jun 2022 ยท SGD 1.79+134%PMI recovery + food commodity upcycle
2015โ€“2016Sep 2015 ยท SGD 1.55Aug 2016 ยท SGD 2.03+31%Soft commodity trough
Hormuz catalyst today: With Irans foreign minister announcing Hormuz will be open for commercial vessels during the ceasefire, urea prices should normalise from $530/t toward $350-380/t. This is a direct positive for Olam's input costs and margin recovery. Watch for confirmation in the coming days.

The Olam Restructuring

Olam has been undergoing a major restructuring since 2022, separating its business into Olam Agri (food staples, animal feed, edible oils) and Olamint (ingredients, nuts, spices, coffee). The goal is to unlock value by giving each business a more focused capital allocation and potential separate listings. This restructuring is ongoing and adds both complexity and potential upside to the investment case.

Sustainability and ESG

Olam has one of the most comprehensive supply chain sustainability programs in agribusiness, with direct farmer relationships across cotton in Africa and cocoa in Ivory Coast. This creates both a competitive moat (traceable supply chains command premium pricing) and a risk (climate events hit production directly).

Key Risks

Related SGX Stocks

The signals for O32 are monitored via Urea og PMI on Signycle Live Signals. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. See our disclaimer.